Extension impact modelling

Understand the impact your extension work is likely to have over time.

We answer questions like

  • What impact is our extension work likely to have over time?
  • What assumptions are we relying on, and how robust are they?
  • What could happen under different extension or investment choices?
  • How can we quantify outcomes that are difficult to measure directly?
  • How do we make decisions when impacts are long-term and data is limited?

How it works

We develop impact models that represent how extension activities lead to behaviour change and outcomes over time. This includes mapping pathways from awareness through to adoption and impact, and making explicit the assumptions that underpin how change is expected to happen.

We combine observed data with modelled relationships to build a more complete picture of current and future impact. Our models allow you to explore different scenarios, test key assumptions, and understand how changes in design, scale, or delivery may affect outcomes. All models are tailored to your context and designed to be transparent and usable for decision-making.

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What this helps you do

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Understand the likely long-term impact of your extension work.

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See how current activity is expected to lead to behaviour change and outcomes.

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Test assumptions and explore different extension scenarios.

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Make informed investment and design decisions under uncertainty.

Why us?

We combine technical modelling capability with a deep understanding of extension systems. Our models are grounded in how behaviour change happens in practice, not just theoretical pathways. This allows us to build representations of impact that reflect real-world dynamics. We prioritise clarity and usability. We make assumptions explicit, communicate uncertainty clearly, and ensure outputs support strategic and investment decisions.

Looking to understand what impact your extension efforts could achieve in the future?

Talk to us about modelling scenarios to support your next decisions.

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Denise Principal